Zeus wrote:Ish, in 1995 the hockey owners got nothing after their lockout other than a toothless luxury tax.
OK, now at least I understand why you keep saying the owners caved in 1995. But
you are wrong. A rookie salary cap was imposed as well as drastic restriction on income players could earn in the future.
Zeus wrote:
It was hardly any better than the baseball one is now. Why the hell do you think they changed the rules (only 8 of 30 owners thing) and locked out the players again the SECOND they could (after the CBA expired)? And they would have caved again in 2003 had those new rules not been in place. They're businessmen and for over half of them, it was worth it to just play the season without a cap but this time, they couldn't, Bettman made sure of that.
And if Lox hadn't thrown away his key, I wouldn't be stuck in his stupid basement either.
Don't you find it amazing how the owners happened to "change the rules" so they got more money/power? People in power tend to do that. This is not the random unfair event from the sky you make it out to be. I'm sorry, but I cannot get outraged if the owners jiggled the rules so they could earn extra money. It's not like the Moses walked off Sinai with the original rules made in stone or anything.
Zeus wrote:
I do agree that the writer's fund ain't too hot, but if it's enough to survive on and they've been prepping for this battle for a while, I think they have enough smarts to wait them out, especially with other strikes luming (sp?) on the horizon. They're not dumb jocks, they know that if they suffer for 6-9 months they'll get SHITLOADS more over the next 5 to 10 years. Look what they're fighting for, that's gonna be the real bread and butter for them from now on, not the script fees.
You might be right. We'll see.
Zeus wrote:
The whole "should" is referring to a competitive market. They're attempting to eliminate that competition by working together, hence the strike. If your government did what it was supposed to do and ensured real competition (these cartels, official or not, are supposed to be illegal, hence the existence of the NLRB), there would be no strike since the moguls would fight each other for the talent. It's not an even playing field because there are too few people running the business making it much easier to work together (if you get Murdoch and Time Warner working together, you've got what, 85% of the market right there?). This is illegal, Ish, the gov't just ain't doin' nothing about it.
Well monopolies/cartles are not illegal per se. Using your monopoly power to "constrain trade" is illegal. It's a very fuzzy concept and IMO it's a bullshit law. Economists like Alan Greenspan and Milton Friedman agree with my opinion.
That said, the actions of the NHL owners and movie moguls *might* be illegal under the current system, but thus far the U.S. government seems to disagree.
Zeus wrote:
That's what the WGA is trying to do with the link in the beginning of this thread, expose them and force the gov't to stop them.
If this were to happen, this would be
bad for consumers. We'd get a worse product if forced to accept artificial controls mandated by the government. We can start a new thread on economic theory if you want.
Zeus wrote:
Again, the point is that the writers (or hockey players) do compete with each other but the moguls are eliminating the competition amongst themselves, so it's not an even playing field. Hence the strike.
Here's what I say to that. If you don't like the way things are run, too bad. Take your services somewhere you think you'd be "fairly" compensated. Play hockey overseas, get your law degree, or make movies in Brazil. It's not the government's job to tell people how to run their businesses (assuming people aren't being maimed, killed, raped, etc).
Zeus wrote:
Actors do have the real power. For each $20M salary (you're forgetting about the residuals most of them get) that has a $200M box office you get a Monkey Bone or Pluto Nash. Most of the actors will take a guaranteed paycheck to eliminate their risk. Then you get the ones like Jack Nicholson in Batman or Hanks in Forrest Gump or Cameron for Titanic or Lucas for Star Wars who tie their salaries to the box office and get fucking rich. They get a far bigger cut that way, often taking in more than 10% or gross revenue. Taking away the fact that the theatres get a percentage, distribution costs, lawyers, writers, 10,000 producers....the actors often end up with the biggest piece of the pie, many times even more so than the studios.
Salary-wise, you describe about 0.00001% of the actors out there, NONE of whom support strikes. Yes these guys have a great deal of power, but Jack Nicholson and Forrest Gump don't run hollywood. Why? Because as rich as they are, they don't have the money to fund $150 million films and risk losing money on them. Some actors help fund a
small part of a partnership, but they do not "run things" because they have partners, some with even more stake, who also have a say. So when you put the (relatively) small amount of money that *some* wealthy actors have in a
few partnerships, their influence does not rise to the level "all the real power".
And even then, they don't care about "regular" actors (i.e. 99.9999%) because economically speaking, they have nothing in common. Certainly Tom Cruise will take any extra money the Actor's Guild manages to negotiate,but the Actor's Guild isn't striking for the Tom Cruises.
With his salary at $20 million/film + royalties (as you mentioned) he's not going on strike so that some nobody can get dental coverage while playing an extra on Rambo 27.
In fact, due to his partnership agreements in financing films, it's more likely that actors at Cruise's salary are
among the mogul crowd.
Zeus wrote:
Late night talk shows are different, they're not the TV shows or movies. The hosts can write their own stuff (they're all technically writers on the show and have tons of experience doing that) but who's gonna write what doesn't happen in the next episode of Lost or why we shouldn't care about Claire anymore in Heroes or waste a napkin on the Transformers 2 script?
I'm not saying talk shows are different. I'm merely saying that another piece of leverage has been wiped away.
Zeus wrote:
They legally can't have just anyone write it, they have to be a member of the WGA. Scabs is the one thing that'll ensure the NLRB gets involved.
Wrong. There's nothing stopping studios from hiring scabs. The NHL could have hired scab hockey players during the hockey strike. So why didn't they? No one is going to pay to see second-rate hockey players. A better strategy is to starve out the first rate hockey players and force them to concede to your demands. (Of course these days, no one is paying to see first rate hockey players either...but I digress).
(Plus if what you said were true, the the late night hosts, all WGA members, would somehow be barred by the NLRB.)
Zeus wrote:
And what I'm saying is that usually, strikers give in 'cause it gets hard for them. When you're talking about blue collar workers (the vast majority of the strikers) they ain't gonna take it for too long so the companies just wait it out. This is a bit different, these are white collar workers and they've been preparing for this for a while now. They're in for the long haul.
Blue collar/white collar has nothing to do with anything. Their salaries are peanuts compared to what industry runners are making and that's the real reason they will fold in the same manner as they did 20 years ago.