The Other Worlds Shrine

Your place for discussion about RPGs, gaming, music, movies, anime, computers, sports, and any other stuff we care to talk about... 

  • 538.com and NCAA bracket

  • Somehow, we still tolerate each other. Eventually this will be the only forum left.
Somehow, we still tolerate each other. Eventually this will be the only forum left.
 #163120  by Don
 Mon Mar 17, 2014 6:40 pm
The site that was predicting the election now has a NCAA bracket predictor. However, I noticed similar to the thing, they don't actually have any results beond a %. To me, that is rather ridiculous. I can tell you that Harvard has a 0.17% chance of winning the tournament and no matter what actually happens you can't prove that number is wrong. They should at least offer a bracket (presumably it'd just be whoever with the higher % on each matchup) so that there's actually something to measure their bracket against. You can't exactly call your 99 friends in different parallel universes to check out what % of the time the game went a certain way.

Link to the bracket here: http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives ... edictions/
 #163128  by Flip
 Tue Mar 18, 2014 6:24 pm
Ah, i didnt realize this was the Nate Silver site. I've been seeing links around lately, but never really paid attention. The guy sure knows how to create buzz with his crazy-genius-stats-o-matic.